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ڃܵfhKǷ׃ 260409

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עԭl򱱾rg48յăփфhpĩ@ȡ


Market reaction to the ceasefire headline is exceedingly positive, just as I warned before the market closed yesterday. Note that CL reversed exactly at the multi-year resistance I gave out when the war started. CL is now sitting on a very important support. Despite the impact of the ceasefire deal, CL remains in a bull trend so long as it stays above 94.

ձPǰʾǘЈ^l„ķOeOՈעWTIԭͣCL_roĶλ̎l˷DĿǰCL̎һdzҪ֧λMܵfhě_ֻҪCLS94ϷȻ̎ڶ^څС


SPX is set to open around 6.8K, which is a very important pivot to reclaim if it aims to head higher. NDX is set to backtest the major trendline from below as well. DXY below 99 and US 2Y yields below 3.8% are both supportive of equities and gold.

500ָSPXAӋ6.8K_PPҪ^mϹ@һՏ͵PISλ{˹_100ָNDXҲʂ·yԇPIڅݾԪָDXY99Լ2ڇʵ3.8%@߾кS𘋳֧Ρ



Whether this two-week ceasefire turns into a permanent ceasefire or atwo-day ceasefire remains unknown. Price action will be telling: a break above SPX = 6.8K and NDX = 25.1K, coupled with DXY below 99 and CL below 94, would suggest a genuine will to cease fire. If price struggles to break through, it may suggest otherwise.

@ݞڃܵfhK׃߀ǃHHһĿǰδ֪rО錢o𰸣SPXͻ6.8KNDXͻ25.1KͬrSDXY99CL94@_挍ԸrttoFͻtܰʾrǡǡ෴

Sean' take:https://t.zsxq.com/aUUD2

漰һЃ݃H텢˲xĶҕҷ͑Ҳκ˰lۻُICȯͶY˵ĵՈɽЈLUͶY֔Ϣ^cκͶYh^IδFͶYߑLUMЌuQ߲гГȫ؟κr£ҷʹñăݶaκΓpʧГ؟Pܴڜ`ҷϢԼʴ_ԳГ؟Ρ

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